UFC 249 Betting: Gaethje vs. Ferguson

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UFC 249 is still scheduled for its original April 18 date and features a main event title fight between Justin Gaethje and Tony Ferguson.

This card has been difficult to put together due to the restricted movement orders across the world. However, with this event taking place, UFC 249 betting can continue as normal.

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Main Event Odds: Justin Gaethje vs. Tony Ferguson

The odds* for UFC 249 betting between Justin Gaethje (the quick Nurmagomedov replacement) and Ferguson are currently at:

Fighter to winBet on these odds
Gaethje+164
Ferguson-194

* UFC 249 betting odds subject to change

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Co-Main Event Odds: Jessica Andrade vs. Rose Namajunas

Their odds for the co-main event are currently at:

Fighter to winBet on these odds
Andrade+180
Namajunas-220

* UFC 249 betting odds subject to change

Co-Main Event Matchup

Jessica Andrade “Bate Estaca” (20-7-0) is currently ranked the best in the Strawweight division. She has seven wins by knockout and submission.

Andrade has a striking accuracy of 52 percent and a grappling accuracy of 59 percent. She also lands an incredible 6.58 significant strikes a minute. She moves very quickly and has an aggressive approach to her significant striking ability.

Rose Namajunas “Thug” (9-4-0) is second behind Andrade in the same rankings. She has six wins by knockout and one by submission. She has been an up and coming fighter within this division.

She has a striking accuracy of 42 percent and a grappling accuracy of 55 percent. She lands 3.95 significant strikes a minute but also absorbs 3.88 in the same time frame.

Key Takeaways

Andrade is an aggressive striker with a high takedown defense at 75 percent. She is also active on takedowns with 3.20 per 15 minutes. She is going to make use of her stamina and work on Namajunas.

Namajunas has the reach advantage of 65 inches over Andrade’s 62 inches. Her takedown defense is a little lacking at 47 percent, which makes her a little vulnerable in this fight.

Lightweight Fight Odds: Islam Makhachev vs. Alexander Hernandez

The odds for UFC 249 betting on the match between Islam Makhachev and Alexander Hernandez are currently at:

Fighter to winBet on these odds
Makhachev-360
Hernandez+300

* UFC 249 betting odds subject to change

Lightweight Bout Matchup

Islam Makhachev (18-1-0) is currently the 14th-best fighter in the lightweight division. He has had an impressive start to his career with seven wins by submission and three wins by knockout.

He has a striking accuracy of 61 percent and a grappling accuracy of 87 percent. He has a conservative significant strike landing 2.24 per min and absorbing 0.82.

Alexander “The Great” Hernandez (11-2-0) is ranked 15th best in the same division. He has a balanced resume, with four wins by knockout and submission.

Hernandez has a striking accuracy of 48 percent and a grappling accuracy of 33 percent. He lands 3.93 significant strikes a minute but absorbs 4.22. His fights have averaged around the eight-minute mark in his favor most of the time.

Key Takeaways

Makhachev has been on an impressive run. His takedown defense is at 100 percent, and he is an excellent grappler. He averages 4.33 takedowns per 15 minutes.

Hernandez has the reach advantage of 72 inches over Makhachev’s 70.5 inches. His takedown defense is a little low, right around 57 percent. This could get ugly on the ground if Makhachev is aggressive in his takedowns.

Featherweight Bout Odds: Jeremy Stephens vs. Calvin Kattar

Jeremy Stephens and Calvin Kattar have an interesting matchup here. Their odds are currently at:

Fighter to winBet on these odds
Stephens+225
Kattar-265

* UFC 249 betting odds subject to change

Featherweight Bout Matchup

Jeremy “Lil’ Heathen” Stephens (28-17-0) is ranked seventh in the featherweight division. He has made a name for himself over his career, with 19 wins by knockout and seven victories by submission

He has a striking accuracy of 40 percent and a grappling accuracy of 38 percent. He lands 3.09 significant strikes a minute while he absorbs 2.98.
Calvin Kattar (20-4-0) is ranked ninth within the same division as Stephens. He has 10 wins by knockout and two by submission.

Kattar has a striking accuracy of 41 percent and a grappling accuracy of 33 percent. He has an aggressive 5.12 significant strikes landed per minute but overwhelmingly absorbs 6.36 in that same time period.

Key Takeaways

Stephens has had a great career knocking his opponents out. His takedown defense is at 65 percent and looks to take down his opponents at 1.18 times per 15 minutes.

Kattar has a slight reach advantage over Stephens, 72 to 71 inches. He has a great takedown defense of 78 percent but does not have much to show for a ground game. If Stephens can work him on the ground, this could be interesting.

Photo credit: jhiner on Visual hunt / CC BY-NC

Potential UFC 249 Betting Wins

These fights are another excellent series of battles that fans get to experience. The fight of the night could be between Makhachev and Hernandez. The two of them are both still looking to move up into the UFC rankings, and they have the aggressiveness to make for a great show.

  • Gaethje loss to Ferguson via Decision.
  • Andrade def Namajunas via Submission, because Andrade has the experience and better ground game.
  • Makhachev def Hernandez via TKO, because Makhachev has a better all-around game and looks for secure opportunities for a victory.
  • Stephens def Kattar via Submission, because Stephens has the experience but also can find a way to win at any cost.